11/10/2022

	11/10/2022	Previous Day's Closing Price	Today Close	% CHANGE SINCE THE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE	CHANGE SINCE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE
SPX	.INX	3748.57	3956.37	5.54%	207.8
	SPY	374.13	394.69	5.50%	20.56
	QQQ	263.32	282.75	7.38%	19.43
	TQQQ	17.6	21.45	21.88%	3.85
	SQQQ	60.37	47.08	-22.01%	-13.29
	SOXX	332.53	366.94	10.35%	34.41
	SOXL	9.24	12.08	30.74%	2.84
	SOXS	54.61	37.77	-30.84%	-16.84
	DIA	325.34	337.26	3.66%	11.92
RUSSELL 2000	IWM	174.63	185.38	6.16%	10.75
DOW TRANSPORTATION	IYT	211.73	224.3	5.94%	12.57
FINANCIAL	XLF	33.87	35.58	5.05%	1.71
ENERGY	XLE	88.53	90.5	2.23%	1.97
BIOTECH	XBI	77.2	83.12	7.67%	5.92
CONSUMER STAPLE	XLP	71.91	73.6	2.35%	1.69
HEALTH CARE	XLV	131.44	134.78	2.54%	3.34
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY	XLY	132.04	141.69	7.31%	9.65
HOMEBUILDER	XHB	56.21	62.02	10.34%	5.81
UTILITY	XLU	65.75	68.85	4.71%	3.1
RETAIL	XRT	59.41	64.06	7.83%	4.65
EMERGING MARKETS	SPEM	31.48	32.44	3.05%	0.96
SOUTH KOREA INDEX	EWY	55.84	58.38	4.55%	2.54
SOUTH KOREA 3X BULL	KORU	7.44	8.47	13.84%	1.03
	ARKK	32.57	37.3	14.52%	4.73
	/BTC	15050	17500	16.28%	2450
CRUDE OIL	/CL	85.64	86.21	0.67%	0.57
	GLD	158.65	163.48	3.04%	4.83
	SLV	19.36	19.97	3.15%	0.61
	GDX	26.24	28.21	7.51%	1.97
13 WKs	IRX	40.93	40.55	-0.93%	-0.38
5	FVX	42.85	39.43	-7.98%	-3.42
10	TNX	41.51	38.29	-7.76%	-3.22
30	TYX	43.2	40.81	-5.53%	-2.39
	10Y3M (10yr 3m spread)	-0.14	-0.46	228.57%	-0.32
	10Y2Y (10yr 2yr spread)	-0.53	-0.52	1.89%	0.01
	T2107 (% stock above 200MA)	35.88	44.71	24.61%	8.83
	T2108 (% stock above 40 MA)	56.91	74.76	31.37%	17.85
	AAPL	134.87	146.87	8.90%	12
	MSFT	224.51	242.98	8.23%	18.47
	AMZN	86.14	96.63	12.18%	10.49
	GOOGL	87.32	93.94	7.58%	6.62
	TSLA	177.59	190.72	7.39%	13.13
	NVDA	137.76	157.5	14.33%	19.74

 

*오늘 특이사항*

인플레 피크 신호. 잡 리포트. 금리 인상 패이스를 낮출수 있는 발표된 지표로 인해 시장 강한 반등. 

오늘 갭이 앞으로 어떻게 지켜 지는지 중요함. 

인플레 피크 신호가 현재 보이지만, 갈길은 멀다. 역금융 장세에서 이제는 역실적 장세로 넘어가고, 어닝 시즌이 어떻게 받쳐주는지 지켜보는게 중요해 보임. 

 

오늘의 시황 정리

 

Dow +1201.43 at 33718.40, Nasdaq +760.97 at 11054.00, S&P +207.80 at 3956.44

 

The stock market had an impressive showing today. Market participants were motivated by the cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October, which showed a welcome moderation in the year-over-year changes for total CPI (to 7.7% from 8.2%) and core CPI (to 6.3% from 6.6%). The major indices all closed at, or near, their highs for the day, underpinned by healthy buying interest, short-covering activity, and a fear of missing out on further gains. 

The immediate takeaways from the CPI report were that peak inflation may have been reached and that the Fed may be apt to soften its rate hike approach going forward.

The fed funds futures market corroborated the latter point. It's now pricing in an 80.6% probability of a 50-basis points rate hike in December (vs 56.8% yesterday) and a lower terminal rate of 4.75-5.00% by June (vs 5.00-5.25% yesterday).

Price action in the bond and currency markets following the CPI report supported the stock market rally. The U.S. Dollar Index plunged 2.5% to 107.74. The 10-yr note yield fell 32 basis points to 3.83% and the 2-yr note yield fell 33 basis points to 4.31%. 

Many stocks came along for the CPI ride, but the sharp turn lower in market rates led to big gains for growth stocks. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) closed up 8.0%; the Russell 3000 Growth Index closed up 7.0%; the Russell 3000 Value Index closed up 4.5%.

All 11 S&P 500 sectors closed with gains ranging from 2.2% (energy) to 8.3% (information technology). The latter was paced by material gains in Apple (AAPL 156.87, +12.00, +8.9%) and Microsoft (MSFT 242.98, +18.47, +8.2%), along with snapback rallies in the semiconductor issues. The PHLX Semiconductor Index surged 10.2%.

Energy complex futures settled higher. WTI crude oil futures rose 0.8% to $86.37/bbl and natural gas futures rose 5.7% to $6.62/mmbtu.

The bond market will be closed tomorrow in observance of Veterans Day. 

Economic data on Friday is limited to the preliminary November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading (Briefing.com consensus 59.6; prior 59.9).

Reviewing today's economic data:

• Total CPI increased 0.4% month-over-month in October (Briefing.com consensus 0.7%) while core-CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus 0.5%). The monthly changes left total CPI up 7.7% year-over-year, versus 8.2% in September, and core CPI up 6.3% year-over-year, versus 6.6% in September.
• The key takeaway from the report isn't singular. It is manifold: (1) The report helps validate the peak inflation view. (2) The report is apt to compel the Fed to take a less aggressive rate-hike approach at the December FOMC meeting. (3) Some encouragement will be borne out of the understanding that the shelter index (computed with a lag) contributed more than half of the monthly all items increase, suggesting price increases moderated in many other areas.
• Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 5 increased by 7,000 to 225,000 (Briefing.com consensus 220,000) while continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 29 increased by 6,000 to 1.493 million.
• The key takeaway from the report is that initial jobless claims are still running at low levels, yet the latest reading shows claims moving in a direction that has been deemed the right direction for tempering the pace of the Fed's rate hikes.
• Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventories showed a build of 79 bcf versus a build of 107 bcf last week

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average: -7.2% YTD

S&P Midcap 400: -11.4% YTD

S&P 500: -17.0% YTD

Russell 2000: -16.8% YTD

Nasdaq Composite: -29.0% YTD

 

특이 종목 변동 사항

 

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