11/16/2022

	11/16/2022	Previous Day's Closing Price	Today Close	% CHANGE SINCE THE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE	CHANGE SINCE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE
SPX	.INX	3991.73	3958.79	-0.83%	-32.94
	SPY	398.57	395.45	-0.78%	-3.12
	QQQ	289.39	285.44	-1.36%	-3.95
	TQQQ	22.96	22.03	-4.05%	-0.93
	SQQQ	43.67	45.45	4.08%	1.78
	SOXX	384.87	368.98	-4.13%	-15.89
	SOXL	13.87	12.13	-12.55%	-1.74
	SOXS	32	36.17	13.03%	4.17
	DIA	336.21	336.07	-0.04%	-0.14
RUSSELL 2000	IWM	187.55	184.25	-1.76%	-3.3
DOW TRANSPORTATION	IYT	230.35	225.56	-2.08%	-4.79
FINANCIAL	XLF	35.44	35.27	-0.48%	-0.17
ENERGY	XLE	94.08	92.16	-2.04%	-1.92
BIOTECH	XBI	83.85	81.49	-2.81%	-2.36
CONSUMER STAPLE	XLP	73.55	73.91	0.49%	0.36
HEALTH CARE	XLV	133.08	133.02	-0.05%	-0.06
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY	XLY	144.74	142.53	-1.53%	-2.21
HOMEBUILDER	XHB	62.3	61.45	-1.36%	-0.85
UTILITY	XLU	68.01	68.62	0.90%	0.61
RETAIL	XRT	66.43	63.96	-3.72%	-2.47
EMERGING MARKETS	SPEM	33.67	33.15	-1.54%	-0.52
SOUTH KOREA INDEX	EWY	60.38	58.57	-3.00%	-1.81
SOUTH KOREA 3X BULL	KORU	9.26	8.45	-8.75%	-0.81
	ARKK	39.97	37.91	-5.15%	-2.06
BITCOIN	/BTC	16670	16275	-2.37%	-395
CRUDE OIL	/CL	86.54	83.89	-3.06%	-2.65
	GLD	165.5	165.12	-0.23%	-0.38
	SLV	19.88	19.74	-0.70%	-0.14
	GDX	27.85	27.53	-1.15%	-0.32
3 MONTH	US3M	4.31	4.32	0.23%	0.01
2 YR	US2Y	4.37	4.35	-0.46%	-0.02
5 YR	FVX	3.922	3.85	-1.84%	-0.72
10 YR	TNX	3.799	3.692	-2.82%	-1.07
30 YR	TYX	3.982	3.86	-3.06%	-1.22
	10Y3M (10yr 3m spread)	-0.51	-0.65	27.45%	-0.14
	10Y2Y (10yr 2yr spread)	-0.57	-0.68	-19.30%	-0.11
	T2107 (% stock above 200MA)	45.35	42.98	-5.23%	-2.37
	T2108 (% stock above 40 MA)	74.81	72.75	-2.75%	-2.06
	AAPL	150.04	148.79	-0.83%	-1.25
	MSFT	241.29	241.73	0.18%	0.44
	AMZN	98.94	97.12	-1.84%	-1.82
	GOOGL	98.44	98.85	0.42%	0.41
	TSLA	194.42	186.92	-3.86%	-7.5
	NVDA	166.66	159.1	-4.54%	-7.56

 

*오늘 특이사항*

 

오늘의 시황 정리 

Dow -39.09 at 33556.86, Nasdaq -174.75 at 11123.51, S&P -32.94 at 3958.86

 

Today's trade was mixed and reflected some normal consolidation efforts along with some festering concerns about the economic outlook. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite had risen 6.5% and 9.7%, respectively, over the last week and were presumably due for a pullback. The Dow, for its part, spent the session dancing around the flat line while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite chopped around in negative territory. 

Some of today's selling interest was precipitated by disappointing earnings and guidance for the holiday quarter from Target (TGT 155.47, -23.51, -13.1%) and an indication from Micron (MU 58.87, -4.23, -6.7%) that it is cutting its DRAM and NAND wafer starts by ~20%, saying that the market outlook for calendar 2023 has recently weakened. Micron also said it is working toward additional capex cuts.

These factors had more influence over price action today than the favorable quarterly results from Lowe's (LOW 215.13, +6.29, +3.0%) and a stronger-than-expected Retail Sales Report for October. 

Despite the stronger-than-expected retail sales data, the 10-yr note Treasury note yield fell 11 basis points today to 3.69%. The drop there reflected concerns about the Fed overtightening and forcing a hard landing for the economy. Accordingly, with rising interest rates, high inflation, a reduced wealth effect, and job security concerns as more companies announce layoffs, market participants showed some concerns about a slowdown in discretionary spending in coming months. Both Target and Walmart acknowledged that consumers were pulling back on discretionary purchases. 

Another concern for market participants is that earnings estimates for 2023 are too high and will be subject to downward revisions. Investors took some money off the table today following the recent runup and are mindful about how much they are willing to pay for every dollar of earnings. 

Broad selling left nine of the 11 S&P 500 sectors in negative territory. The energy sector (-2.2%) suffered the heaviest loss amid falling oil prices. WTI crude oil futures fell 1.2% to $85.67/bbl.

The consumer discretionary sector (-1.5%) was another top laggard today due to Target's losses, but the worst performing component was Advance Auto (AAP 156.24, -27.70, -15.1%) after the company disappointed with quarterly results.

Only the utilities (+0.9%) and consumer staples (+0.5%) sectors squeezed out a gain. 

The 2-yr note yield rose one basis point to 4.36%, buffeted by Fed speak. Earlier in the session, San Francisco Fed President Daly (2024 FOMC voter) said that the idea of the Fed pausing its rate hikes is not even on the table for discussion right now and that she thinks a 5.00% fed funds rate is a reasonable level where the Fed can hold rates. Later in the day, meanwhile, Fed Governor Waller (FOMC voter) said that he's more comfortable stepping down to a 50-basis point hike at the December FOMC meeting following the economic data releases from the last few weeks. 

Alibaba (BABA), NetEase (NTES), Macy's (M), BJ's Wholesale (BJ), Kohl's (KSS), and Dole plc (DOLE) are among the companies reporting earnings ahead of Thursday's open.

Looking ahead to Thursday, market participants will receive the following economic data:

• 8:30 a.m. ET: October Housing Starts (Briefing.com consensus 1420K; prior 1439K) and Building Permits (Briefing.com consensus 1518K; prior 1564K); Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (222K; prior 225K) and Continuing Claims (prior 1493K); November Philadelphia Fed Index (Briefing.com consensus -5.0; prior -8.7).
• 10:30 a.m. ET: EIA Natural Gas Inventories (prior +79 bcf).

Reviewing today's economic data:

• Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index 2.7%; Prior -0.1%
• October Retail Sales 1.3% (Briefing.com consensus 0.9%); Prior 0.0%, October Retail Sales ex-auto 1.3% (Briefing.com consensus 0.6%); Prior 0.1%
• The key takeaway from the report is that retail sales, which are not adjusted for inflation, were still solid in October, underscoring that consumer spending continues to hold up fairly well, supported by continued low levels of unemployment.
• October Export Price Index -0.3%; Prior was revised to -1.5% from -0.8%
• October Export Prices ex-ag. -0.3%; Prior was revised to -1.6% from -0.9%
• October Import Prices Index -0.2%; Prior was revised to -1.1% from -1.2%
• October Import Prices ex-oil -0.1%; Prior was revised to -0.3% from -0.4%
• October Industrial Production -0.1% (Briefing.com consensus 0.0%); Prior was revised to 0.1% from 0.4%, October Capacity Utilization 79.9% (Briefing.com consensus 80.3%); Prior was revised to 80.1% from 80.3%
• The key takeaway from the report is that industrial output is largely stalling with declines in four of the last six months (May -0.1%; June -0.1%; July +0.7%; August -0.1%; September +0.1%; and October -0.1%).
  September Business Inventories 0.4% (Briefing.com consensus 0.5%); Prior was revised to 0.9% from 0.8%
• November NAHB Housing Market Index 33 (Briefing.com consensus 36); Prior 38

 

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average: -7.7% YTD

S&P Midcap 400: -11.7% YTD

Russell 2000: -17.5% YTD

S&P 500: -16.9% YTD

Nasdaq Composite: -28.5% YTD

 

 

특이 종목 변동 사항

 

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