11/15/2022

	11/15/2022	Previous Day's Closing Price	Today Close	% CHANGE SINCE THE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE	CHANGE SINCE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE
SPX	.INX	3957.25	3991.73	0.87%	34.48
	SPY	395.12	398.49	0.85%	3.37
	QQQ	285.44	289.39	1.38%	3.95
	TQQQ	22.07	22.96	4.03%	0.89
	SQQQ	45.52	43.67	-4.06%	-1.85
	SOXX	374.03	384.87	2.90%	10.84
	SOXL	12.77	13.87	8.61%	1.1
	SOXS	35.07	32	-8.75%	-3.07
	DIA	335.77	336.21	0.13%	0.44
RUSSELL 2000	IWM	184.81	187.55	1.48%	2.74
DOW TRANSPORTATION	IYT	228.81	230.35	0.67%	1.54
FINANCIAL	XLF	35.36	35.44	0.23%	0.08
ENERGY	XLE	93.1	94.08	1.05%	0.98
BIOTECH	XBI	84.07	83.85	-0.26%	-0.22
CONSUMER STAPLE	XLP	72.94	73.55	0.84%	0.61
HEALTH CARE	XLV	133.25	133.08	-0.13%	-0.17
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY	XLY	142.79	144.74	1.37%	1.95
HOMEBUILDER	XHB	61.02	62.3	2.10%	1.28
UTILITY	XLU	67.27	68.01	1.10%	0.74
RETAIL	XRT	64.76	66.43	2.58%	1.67
EMERGING MARKETS	SPEM	33.02	33.67	1.97%	0.65
SOUTH KOREA INDEX	EWY	59.57	60.36	1.33%	0.79
SOUTH KOREA 3X BULL	KORU	8.93	9.27	3.81%	0.34
	ARKK	38.91	39.97	2.72%	1.06
BITCOIN	/BTC	16145	16670	3.25%	525
CRUDE OIL	/CL	85.22	86.54	1.55%	1.32
	GLD	164.92	165.5	0.35%	0.58
	SLV	20.24	19.88	-1.78%	-0.36
	GDX	28.12	27.85	-0.96%	-0.27
3 MONTH	US3M	4.34	4.31	-0.69%	-0.03
2 YR	US2Y	4.40	4.37	-0.68%	-0.03
5 YR	FVX	3.997	3.922	-1.88%	-0.75
10 YR	TNX	3.865	3.799	-1.71%	-0.66
30 YR	TYX	4.058	3.982	-1.87%	-0.76
	10Y3M (10yr 3m spread)	-0.46	-0.51	10.87%	-0.05
	10Y2Y (10yr 2yr spread)	-0.52	-0.57	-9.62%	-0.05
	T2107 (% stock above 200MA)	43.87	45.35	3.37%	1.48
	T2108 (% stock above 40 MA)	72.76	74.81	2.82%	2.05
	AAPL	148.28	150.04	1.19%	1.76
	MSFT	241.55	241.97	0.17%	0.42
	AMZN	98.49	98.94	0.46%	0.45
	GOOGL	95.7	98.44	2.86%	2.74
	TSLA	190.95	194.42	1.82%	3.47
	NVDA	162.95	166.66	2.28%	3.71

*오늘 특이사항*

낮은 PPI로 인해 마켓 갭업 오픈. 오늘 생긴 갭 채우고 반등 후 상승세로 마감.

시장 그리고 빅스 모두 상승으로 마감함. 조심스럽게 지켜봐야 할것으로 판단됨.

러시아 미사일이 폴란드에 떨어졌다는 뉴스로 인해 장 중 강한 셀링으로 마켓 그린 투 레드로 전환 되었으니 다시 매수세가 들어오면서 상승으로 마감.

수요일 그리고 목요일 중요한 지표들이 있음. 여러 경제 지표들이 페드가 금리 강도를 낮추고 페이스를 조절할 것이라고 말해주는 중. 인플레 갈길은 멀지만 강도 그리고 인플레의 방향성은 꺽인 추세. 이제 남은건 실업률 그리고 오르는 실업률로 인한 경기 침체의 정도가 중요하다. 거기서 또 연결되는 기업 어닝. 4분기 미국 헐리데이 어닝, 그리고 내년 1분기 어닝이 어떻게 이어 질지 잘 지켜봐야 할듯.  

 

오늘의 시황 정리 

Dow +56.22 at 33595.95, Nasdaq +162.19 at 11298.26, S&P +34.48 at 3991.80

 

The stock market closed off its best levels of the day, but overall, showed some impressive resilience to selling efforts today. The major indices started the session with decent gains, albeit in choppy conditions, fueled by a pleasing earnings report from Walmart (WMT 147.44, +9.05, +6.5%) and an October Producer Price Index (PPI) that came in cooler-than-expected.

The PPI report for October revealed some welcome disinflation at the producer level with total PPI up 8.0% yr/yr, versus 8.4% in September, and core PPI, which excludes food and energy, up 6.7% yr/yr, versus 7.1% in September. This added fuel to the market's notion that the Fed is likely to take a less aggressive rate-hike approach going forward.

Things deteriorated in a hurry, however, after unconfirmed reports circulated that Russian missiles hit NATO member Poland, killing two people there. The deterioration took the S&P 500 below the 4,000 level and the index was unable to reclaim a position above that level for the rest of the session.  

Still, after the initial knee-jerk selling, the positive bias in the market prevailed and the major averages recovered nicely from session lows. 

There was also a knee-jerk response to the reports about Poland in the Treasury and currency markets. Like the stock market, things quickly returned to levels seen before the reports hit the wires indicating there wasn't a major flight-to-safety like one would expect to see on such reports. 

The 2-yr note yield fell six basis points to 4.35% and the 10-yr note yield fell seven basis points to 3.80%. 

Other factors aside from Walmart and the October PPI that worked in the stock market's favor today included:

• China reporting weaker-than-expected retail sales, industrial production, and fixed asset investment data for October, stirring hope that new stimulus will be enacted and that officials will find away to embrace a shift away from the economically-damaging zero-COVID policy.
• The BofA Global Fund Manager Survey again showing an elevated cash position of 6.2% that is higher than what was seen during the global financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic panic, stirring contrarian buying interest.
• Falling Treasury yields and a weakening dollar (the U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.1% to 106.54).

Mega cap stocks were integral today to index level gains and the recovery effort off session lows. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) was up 1.3% versus a 0.9% gain in both the S&P 500 and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP). 

Nine of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed in positive territory. Health care (-0.1%) and materials (-0.1%) were alone in the red while communication services (+1.8%) and information technology (+1.2%) sat atop the leaderboard. 

The communication services sector was boosted by a big gain in Paramount (PARA 19.44, +0.95, +5.1%) after Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett) disclosed an increased position in the company in its 13F filing. Alphabet (GOOG 98.72, +2.69, +2.8%) and Netflix (NLFX 310.20, +10.93, +3.7%) also helped with sector gains. The latter received a double-upgrade to Buy from Underperform at BofA Securities.

The information technology sector was bolstered by strong semiconductor components. TSMC (TSM 80.46, +7.66, +10.5%) was a winning standout for the group after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a new position of ~60.06 million shares in a 13F filing. The PHLX Semiconductor Index was up 3.0%.

Energy complex futures settled the session higher. WTI crude oil futures rose 1.0% to $86.69/bbl and natural gas futures rose 2.2% to $6.44/mmbtu.

Ahead of Wednesday's open, Target (TGT), Lowe's (LOW), and TJX (TJX) headline the earnings reports.

Wednesday will bring a slew of economic data for market participants to digest, including:

• 7:00 ET: Weekly MBA Mortgage Index (prior -0.1%)
• 8:30 ET: October Import/Export Prices, October Retail Sales (Briefing.com consensus 0.9%; prior 0.0%), and Retail Sales ex-auto (Briefing.com consensus 0.6%; prior 0.1%)
• 9:15 ET: October Industrial Production (Briefing.com consensus 0.0%; prior 0.4%) and Capacity Utilization (Briefing.com consensus 80.3%; prior 80.3%)
• 10:00 ET: September Business Inventories (Briefing.com consensus 0.5%; prior 0.8%) and November NAHB Housing Market Index (Briefing.com consensus 36; prior 38)
• 10:30 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior +3.92 mln)

Reviewing today's economic data:

• November Empire State Manufacturing 4.5 (Briefing.com consensus -5.0); Prior -9.1
• The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2% month-over-month in October (Briefing.com consensus +0.5%) following a downwardly revised 0.2% increase (from 0.4%) for September. Excluding food and energy, the Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged (Briefing.com consensus +0.4%) following a downwardly revised 0.2% increase (from 0.3%) in September.
• The key takeaway from the report is the clear signs of disinflation embedded in it. Like the CPI report, inflation is still too high at the producer level, yet the direction is more important than the level for the market at this point. The lower trend in PPI, coupled with the decline in processed goods for intermediate demand (-0.2% m/m) and unprocessed goods for intermediate demand (-11.7% m/m), will feed the market's newfound belief that the Fed is apt to take a less aggressive rate-hike approach and ultimately settle on a lower terminal rate than previously thought.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: -7.6% YTD
• S&P Midcap 400: -10.4% YTD
• Russell 2000: -15.9% YTD
• S&P 500: -16.3% YTD
• Nasdaq Composite: -27.4% YTD

특이 종목 변동 사항

 

거래량 10밀리언 이상 & Watch List

11/15/2022	SATX
	FDMT
	SE
	HUYA
	QRTEB
	GRFX
	TRUE
	TME
	BILI
	SUNL
	DRIO