11/23/2022

	11/23/2022	Previous Day's Closing Price	Today Close	% CHANGE SINCE THE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE	CHANGE SINCE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE
SPX	.INX	4003.58	4027.26	0.59%	23.68
	SPY	399.87	402.42	0.64%	2.55
	QQQ	285.95	288.82	1.00%	2.87
	TQQQ	22.07	22.73	2.99%	0.66
	SQQQ	45.32	43.94	-3.05%	-1.38
	SOXX	377.44	382	1.21%	4.56
	SOXL	12.9	13.32	3.26%	0.42
	SOXS	33.44	32.37	-3.20%	-1.07
	DIA	340.96	341.95	0.29%	0.99
RUSSELL 2000	IWM	184.71	185.19	0.26%	0.48
DOW TRANSPORTATION	IYT	226.6	227.88	0.56%	1.28
FINANCIAL	XLF	35.84	35.99	0.42%	0.15
ENERGY	XLE	93.22	92.21	-1.08%	-1.01
BIOTECH	XBI	80.97	81	0.04%	0.03
CONSUMER STAPLE	XLP	75.94	76.2	0.34%	0.26
HEALTH CARE	XLV	135.8	136.34	0.40%	0.54
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY	XLY	140.52	142.55	1.44%	2.03
HOMEBUILDER	XHB	61.71	62.02	0.50%	0.31
UTILITY	XLU	69.75	70.53	1.12%	0.78
RETAIL	XRT	66.42	66.64	0.33%	0.22
EMERGING MARKETS	SPEM	32.85	33.06	0.64%	0.21
SOUTH KOREA INDEX	EWY	56.86	57.95	1.92%	1.09
SOUTH KOREA 3X BULL	KORU	7.7	8.13	5.58%	0.43
	ARKK	35.31	36.32	2.86%	1.01
BITCOIN	/BTC	16055	16475	2.62%	420
CRUDE OIL	/CL	81.1	77.45	-4.50%	-3.65
	GLD	162.07	163.08	0.62%	1.01
	SLV	19.43	19.81	1.96%	0.38
	GDX	28.26	28.71	1.59%	0.45
3 MONTH	US3M	4.40	4.40	0.00%	0
2 YR	US2Y	4.47	4.46	-0.22%	-0.01
5 YR	FVX	3.938	3.892	-1.17%	-0.46
10 YR	TNX	3.758	3.706	-1.38%	-0.52
30 YR	TYX	3.83	3.739	-2.38%	-0.91
	10Y3M (10yr 3m spread)	-0.64	-0.64	0.00%	0
	10Y2Y (10yr 2yr spread)	-0.71	-0.71	0.00%	0
	T2107 (% stock above 200MA)	45.48	47.19	3.76%	1.71
	T2108 (% stock above 40 MA)	71.85	72.64	1.10%	0.79
	AAPL	150.18	151.07	0.59%	0.89
	MSFT	245.03	247.58	1.04%	2.55
	AMZN	93.2	94.13	1.00%	0.93
	GOOGL	97.05	98.46	1.45%	1.41
	TSLA	169.91	183.2	7.82%	13.29
	NVDA	160.38	165.19	3.00%	4.81

*오늘 특이사항*

 

오늘의 시황 정리 

Dow +95.96 at 34197.68, Nasdaq +110.91 at 11225.17, S&P +23.68 at 4027.38

 

Today's trade shaped up to be mostly on the positive side, building on yesterday's gains. The upside bias was supported by a pullback in Treasury yields, a weakening dollar, and leadership from mega cap stocks. The main indices hit an air pocket, however, around midday without a specific news catalyst that brought the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average into negative territory. 

The positive disposition was not unusual for Thanksgiving week, so a seasonal bias was likely another support factor for stocks. 

Other supportive factors today included a positive response to earnings from Deere (DE 437.52, +20.96, +5.0%) and renewed interest in stocks that have sold off recently like Tesla (TSLA 183.20, +13.29, +7.8%), which received an upgrade to Neutral from Sell at Citigroup. 

In addition to Tesla, other mega caps were important directional drivers today. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) closed with a gain of 1.1%, but fell as low as the unchanged mark. This move coincided with the stock market taking its midday leg lower. 

Market participants also had a slew of economic data to digest today. Some reports, like October Durable Goods Orders, October New Home Sales, and the November University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment, were better than expected, but others, like the Weekly Initial Claims and Preliminary November IHS Markit Manufacturing and Services PMIs, were worse than expected.

The Treasury market and dollar seemed to key off the IHS data, which showed contraction readings (i.e., sub-50) for both the manufacturing and services numbers, and the uptick in initial claims, as a reason to think the Fed might not be overly aggressive with its future rate hikes.

On a related note, the FOMC Minutes for the November 1-2 meeting seemed to support that thought. The Minutes revealed that, "a substantial majority of participants judged that a slowing in the pace of increase would likely soon be appropriate."

That view was not entirely surprising; nonetheless, the market liked the implication and rallied to session highs following the release of the Minutes. The indices settled the day just below their best levels of the session on light trading volume.

The 2-yr note yield settled the day down five basis points to 4.47% and the 10-yr note yield dropped five basis points to 3.71%. The U.S. Dollar Index declined 1.0% to 106.12.

Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed with gains that ranged from 0.2% (real estate) to 1.3% (consumer discretionary). The lone holdout in negative territory was energy (-1.2%).

As a reminder, the market will be closed Thursday and will have an abbreviated session on Friday that ends at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Reviewing today's economic data:

• The final reading for the November University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment increased to 56.8 (Briefing.com consensus 55.5) from the preliminary reading of 54.7. The final reading for October was 59.9. In the same period a year ago, the index stood at 67.4.
• The key takeaway from the report is that the weakening sentiment has been influenced by the ongoing impact of inflation, rising borrowing costs, declining asset values, and expectations for a weaker labor market.
• New home sales increased 7.5% month-over-month in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 632,000 units (Briefing.com consensus 578,000) from a downwardly revised 588,000 (from 603,000) in September. On a year-over-year basis, new home sales were down 5.8%.
• The key takeaway from the report is that it reflects how the spike in mortgage rates has created affordability pressures for lower-income buyers and how the jump in building costs has crimped the supply of lower-priced homes. The jump in median and average selling prices was skewed by higher-priced homes accounting for a larger percentage of total new homes sold.
• Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 19 increased by 17,000 to 240,000 (Briefing.com consensus 226,000) while continuing jobless claims for the week ending November 12 increased by 48,000 to 1.551 million.
• The key takeaway from the report is that initial jobless claims are moving in a direction the Fed would prefer at this juncture, yet they are still not high enough to suggest that there has been some acute loosening in the labor market.
• Durable good orders, meanwhile, increased 1.0% month-over-month in October (Briefing.com consensus +0.4%) following a downwardly revised 0.3% increase (from 0.4%) in September. Excluding transportation, durable goods orders rose 0.5% month-over-month following a downwardly revised 0.9% decline (from -0.5%) in September.
• The key takeaway from the report is that business spending rebounded, evidenced by a 0.7% increase in new orders for nondefense capital goods, excluding aircraft, which had declined 0.8% in September. Shipments of these orders were up 1.3% month-over-month in October, which will be a positive input for Q4 GDP forecasts.
• The weekly MBA Mortgage Application index rose 2.2% week-over-week after last week's 2.7% increase
• The weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories showed a draw of 3.69 million barrels after last week's draw of 5.40 million barrels.
• The weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventories showed a draw of 80 bcf after last week's build of 64 bcf.

Dow Jones Industrial Average: -6.2% YTD

S&P Midcap 400: -10.4% YTD

Russell 2000: -17.1% YTD

S&P 500: -16.0% YTD

Nasdaq Composite: -28.6% YTD

 

특이 종목 변동 사항

 

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