| 12/5/2022 | Previous Day's Closing Price | Today Close | % CHANGE SINCE THE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE | CHANGE SINCE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE | |
| SPX | .INX | 4071.7 | 3998.84 | -1.79% | -72.86 |
| SPY | 406.91 | 399.59 | -1.80% | -7.32 | |
| QQQ | 292.55 | 287.64 | -1.68% | -4.91 | |
| TQQQ | 23.41 | 22.23 | -5.04% | -1.18 | |
| SQQQ | 41.79 | 43.85 | 4.93% | 2.06 | |
| SOXX | 380.89 | 376.07 | -1.27% | -4.82 | |
| SOXL | 13.03 | 12.59 | -3.38% | -0.44 | |
| SOXS | 31.79 | 32.86 | 3.37% | 1.07 | |
| DIA | 344.74 | 340.03 | -1.37% | -4.71 | |
| RUSSELL 2000 | IWM | 188.05 | 182.87 | -2.75% | -5.18 |
| DOW TRANSPORTATION | IYT | 231.51 | 225.72 | -2.50% | -5.79 |
| FINANCIAL | XLF | 35.93 | 35.04 | -2.48% | -0.89 |
| ENERGY | XLE | 90.31 | 87.63 | -2.97% | -2.68 |
| BIOTECH | XBI | 85.66 | 82.88 | -3.25% | -2.78 |
| CONSUMER STAPLE | XLP | 77.19 | 76.22 | -1.26% | -0.97 |
| HEALTH CARE | XLV | 139.78 | 138.44 | -0.96% | -1.34 |
| CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY | XLY | 145.96 | 141.75 | -2.88% | -4.21 |
| HOMEBUILDER | XHB | 62.63 | 61.19 | -2.30% | -1.44 |
| UTILITY | XLU | 71.03 | 70.63 | -0.56% | -0.4 |
| RETAIL | XRT | 67.02 | 65.4 | -2.42% | -1.62 |
| EMERGING MARKETS | SPEM | 34.51 | 34.16 | -1.01% | -0.35 |
| SOUTH KOREA INDEX | EWY | 59.44 | 58.06 | -2.32% | -1.38 |
| SOUTH KOREA 3X BULL | KORU | 8.65 | 8.06 | -6.82% | -0.59 |
| ARKK | 38.16 | 36.07 | -5.48% | -2.09 | |
| BITCOIN | /BTC | 16925 | 16910 | -0.09% | -15 |
| CRUDE OIL | /CL | 80.34 | 77.37 | -3.70% | -2.97 |
| GLD | 167.26 | 164.39 | -1.72% | -2.87 | |
| SLV | 21.29 | 20.44 | -3.99% | -0.85 | |
| GDX | 29.92 | 28.84 | -3.61% | -1.08 | |
| 3 MONTH | US3M | 4.34 | 4.36 | 0.46% | 0.02 |
| 2 YR | US2Y | 4.28 | 4.41 | 3.04% | 0.13 |
| 5 YR | FVX | 3.666 | 3.793 | 3.46% | 1.27 |
| 10 YR | TNX | 3.506 | 3.599 | 2.65% | 0.93 |
| 30 YR | TYX | 3.562 | 3.616 | 1.52% | 0.54 |
| 10Y3M (10yr 3m spread) | -0.8 | -0.76 | -5.00% | 0.04 | |
| 10Y2Y (10yr 2yr spread) | -0.72 | -0.81 | -12.50% | -0.09 | |
| T2107 (% stock above 200MA) | 49.31 | 45.23 | -8.27% | -4.08 | |
| T2108 (% stock above 40 MA) | 73.68 | 66.01 | -10.41% | -7.67 | |
| AAPL | 147.81 | 146.63 | -0.80% | -1.18 | |
| MSFT | 255.02 | 250.2 | -1.89% | -4.82 | |
| AMZN | 94.13 | 91.01 | -3.31% | -3.12 | |
| GOOGL | 100.44 | 99.48 | -0.96% | -0.96 | |
| TSLA | 194.86 | 182.45 | -6.37% | -12.41 | |
| NVDA | 168.76 | 166.1 | -1.58% | -2.66 |
*오늘 특이사항*
오늘의 시황 정리
Dow -482.78 at 33952.44, Nasdaq -221.56 at 11179.79, S&P -72.86 at 3999.26
It was a trend-down day for the stock market following the big run we've had in recent weeks. Entering today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 19.9% this quarter, the S&P Midcap 400 was up 16.8%, the Russell 2000 was up 13.7%, the S&P 500 was up 13.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 8.4%.
Those gains were partially predicated on the notion that the Fed may be apt to soften its approach, a view that was presumably aided by Fed Chair Powell's speech last week.
Buyer enthusiasm was dampened today, however, by an article in The Wall Street Journal from Nick Timiraos, who some believe is a preferred source to float the Fed's thinking. Mr. Timiraos suggested that wage inflation could ultimately compel the Fed in 2023 to take its benchmark rate higher than the 5.00% the market currently expects.
Accordingly, market participants were distracted today by the thought that the market may have overreacted to Mr. Powell's speech. In turn, there were festering concerns that the Fed might overtighten and trigger a deeper economic setback, which overshadowed reports discussing relaxed COVID restrictions in China.
The fed funds futures market is pricing in a 64.1% probability of the terminal rate hitting 5.00-5.25% by mid-2023 compared to a 46.9% probability on Friday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Other factors that helped to rein in some of the market's rebound energy included:
- A stronger-than-expected ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for November (56.5% vs 54.4% prior) that bolstered the view that the Fed is apt to keep rates higher for longer.
- An uptick in Treasury yields. The 2-yr note rose nine basis points to 4.38% and the 10-yr note rose nine basis points to 3.60%.
- Notable strength in the U.S. Dollar Index, up 0.8% to 105.33.
- Softness in mega-cap stocks, but some acute weakness in Tesla (TSLA 182.45, -12.41, 6.4%) even though it refuted press reports that it is planning an output cut of at least 20% for the Model Y at its Shanghai plant in December.
The broad-based selling that ensued saw the S&P 500 breach support at its 200-day moving average (4,045) and close just a whisker below the 4,000 level.
All 11 S&P 500 sectors sported losses that ranged from 0.6% (utilities) to 3.0% (consumer discretionary). The latter was weighed down by Tesla and Amazon.com (AMZN 91.01, -3.12, -3.3.%), but also by V.F. Corp (VFC 29.51, -3.71, -11.2%) after the company lowered its EPS guidance for FY23 due to soft demand, particularly in North America.
Along with consumer discretionary, other cyclical sectors like financials (-2.5%) and energy (-2.5%) suffered the biggest losses.
Energy complex futures closed with decent losses today even though OPEC+ agreed to maintain its production cut target of 2 million barrels per day from November until the end of 2023. Separately, the EU and its allies agreed to a $60.00 per barrel price cap on Russian oil. WTI crude oil futures fell 3.5% today to $77.32/bbl and natural gas futures fell 10.4% to $5.62/mmbtu.
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: -6.6% YTD
- S&P Midcap 400: -11.7% YTD
- Russell 2000: -18.1% YTD
- S&P 500: -16.1% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite: -28.2% YTD
Reviewing today's economic data:
- The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for November increased to 56.5% (Briefing.com consensus 53.5%) from 54.4% in October. The dividing line between expansion and contraction is 50.0%. The November reading marks the 30th straight month of growth for the services sector.
- The key takeaway from the report is that business activity for the non-manufacturing sector, which comprises the largest swath of U.S. economic activity, strengthened in November, aiding the view that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.
- Factory orders for manufactured goods increased 1.0% month-over-month in October (Briefing.com consensus 0.7%) following an unrevised 0.3% increase in September. Shipments of manufactured goods jumped 0.7% after increasing 0.3% in September.
- The key takeaway from the report is the quick rebound seen in business spending, evidenced by the 0.6% increase in nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, and the sizable jump in shipments of nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft (+1.5%) that will compute favorably for Q4 GDP forecasts.
- The final IHS Markit Services PMI reading for November came in at 46.2 after the last reading of 46.1.
Tuesday's economic data is limited to the October Trade Balance (Briefing.com consensus -$77.2 billion; prior -$73.3 billion) at 8:30 a.m. ET.
특이 종목 변동 사항
거래량 10밀리언 이상 & Watch List
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