12/8/2022

	12/8/2022	Previous Day's Closing Price	Today Close	% CHANGE SINCE THE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE	CHANGE SINCE PRE-TRADING DAY CLOSE
SPX	.INX	3941.26	3933.92	-0.19%	-7.34
	SPY	393.83	393.16	-0.17%	-0.67
	QQQ	281.68	280.53	-0.41%	-1.15
	TQQQ	20.82	20.57	-1.20%	-0.25
	SQQQ	46.58	47.24	1.42%	0.66
	SOXX	368.16	367.37	-0.21%	-0.79
	SOXL	11.72	11.7	-0.17%	-0.02
	SOXS	35.15	35.16	0.03%	0.01
	DIA	336.46	336.44	-0.01%	-0.02
RUSSELL 2000	IWM	180.07	179.54	-0.29%	-0.53
DOW TRANSPORTATION	IYT	223.11	220.99	-0.95%	-2.12
FINANCIAL	XLF	34.73	34.59	-0.40%	-0.14
ENERGY	XLE	85.32	85.12	-0.23%	-0.2
BIOTECH	XBI	80.59	81.09	0.62%	0.5
CONSUMER STAPLE	XLP	75.75	76.07	0.42%	0.32
HEALTH CARE	XLV	137.39	138.52	0.82%	1.13
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY	XLY	139.54	138.7	-0.60%	-0.84
HOMEBUILDER	XHB	60.35	61.46	1.84%	1.11
UTILITY	XLU	71.07	70.74	-0.46%	-0.33
RETAIL	XRT	64.93	64.87	-0.09%	-0.06
EMERGING MARKETS	SPEM	34.16	33.95	-0.61%	-0.21
SOUTH KOREA INDEX	EWY	57.08	57.39	0.54%	0.31
SOUTH KOREA 3X BULL	KORU	7.65	7.76	1.44%	0.11
	ARKK	34.62	34.35	-0.78%	-0.27
BITCOIN	/BTC	16955	16750	-1.21%	-205
CRUDE OIL	/CL	74.45	72.4	-2.75%	-2.05
	GLD	164.84	166.33	0.90%	1.49
	SLV	20.44	20.92	2.35%	0.48
	GDX	28.85	29.41	1.94%	0.56
3 MONTH	US3M	4.37	4.29	-1.83%	-0.08
2 YR	US2Y	4.34	4.26	-1.84%	-0.08
5 YR	FVX	3.733	3.614	-3.19%	-1.19
10 YR	TNX	3.513	3.408	-2.99%	-1.05
30 YR	TYX	3.523	3.415	-3.07%	-1.08
	10Y3M (10yr 3m spread)	-0.81	-0.87	7.41%	-0.06
	10Y2Y (10yr 2yr spread)	-0.76	-0.84	-10.53%	-0.08
	T2107 (% stock above 200MA)	43.57	43.26	-0.71%	-0.31
	T2108 (% stock above 40 MA)	60.97	58.41	-4.20%	-2.56
	AAPL	142.91	140.94	-1.38%	-1.97
	MSFT	245.12	244.37	-0.31%	-0.75
	AMZN	88.25	88.46	0.24%	0.21
	GOOGL	96.98	94.94	-2.10%	-2.04
	TSLA	179.82	174.04	-3.21%	-5.78
	NVDA	159.87	161.2	0.83%	1.33

 

*오늘 특이사항*

 

오늘의 시황 정리 

Dow +1.58 at 33603.26, Nasdaq -56.34 at 10898.40, S&P -7.34 at 3934.34

 

The stock market showed some resilience today after a big retreat in the last two sessions. Overall, though, buyers remained a reluctant bunch amid lingering angst about global growth prospects. The major indices were little changed in today's session, yet the Nasdaq Composite continued to underperform. 

There was likely also an element of trepidation in play today with market participants eyeing the November Producer Price Index on Friday, the November Consumer Price Index next Tuesday, and the FOMC decision next Wednesday, all of which have the potential to spark outsized reactions. 

Bond market buyers, however, did not exhibit the same lack of conviction as stock market participants today. The 2-yr note yield fell 11 basis points to 4.24% and the 10-yr note yield fell 11 basis points to 3.41%. 

These moves followed the revised Q3 Productivity Report, which showed a softer 2.4% increase in unit labor costs than the preliminary estimate of 3.5%. That report followed on the heels of trade data from China released overnight that showed a larger-than-expected decline in exports (-8.7% yr/yr) and imports (-10.6% yr/yr) in November.

The softer unit labor cost data helped drive the rally in the Treasury market, yet, despite the sharp drop in market rates, stocks traded in a more reserved fashion, cognizant that the driver of weaker inflation will be weaker growth that does not bode well for 2023 earnings prospects. 

In addition, rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of India (+35 bps to 6.25%) and the Bank of Canada (+50 bps to 4.25%) served as reminders of the tighter monetary policy taking root around the globe to curtail inflation by using higher rates to weaken demand.

S&P 500 sector performance reflected the sluggish nature of today's trade. There wasn't a single sector that finished the day up or down more than 0.9%. Health care (+0.9%) and consumer staples (+0.4%) led the outperformers while communication services (-0.9%), information technology (-0.5%), and consumer discretionary (-0.5%) brought up the rear, weighed down by their lagging mega cap components. 

The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) closed down 0.5% versus a 0.2% loss in the S&P 500 and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP).

• Dow Jones Industrial Average: -7.5% YTD
• S&P Midcap 400: -12.8% YTD
• Russell 2000: -19.5% YTD
• S&P 500: -17.5% YTD
• Nasdaq Composite: -30.0% YTD

Reviewing today's economic data:

• Weekly MBA Mortgage Application Index fell 1.9% versus a 0.8% decline last week
• Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.8% in the third quarter (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%) versus the preliminary estimate of 0.3%. Unit labor costs, meanwhile, were up 2.4% versus the preliminary estimate of 3.5%.
• The key takeaway from the report was the softer unit labor cost reading, which was deemed to be a supportive development for the peak inflation view. However, it bears pointing out that productivity is still weak in general, evidenced by the understanding that nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
• Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories showed a draw of 5.19 million barrels following last week's draw of 12.58 million barrels
• Consumer credit increased by $27.0 bln in October (Briefing.com consensus $26.5 billion) following an upwardly revised $25.9 billion (from $25.0 billion) in September.
• The key takeaway from the report is that consumer credit continued to expand at a robust pace in October, demonstrating that the demand for credit did not vanish in a rising interest rate environment. That point notwithstanding, a slowdown in the pace of expansion is expected as the persistence of high(er) interest rates, tighter underwriting standards, and some weakening in the labor market reduces loan demand/lending activity.

Looking ahead to Thursday, market participants will receive the following economic data:

• 8:30 ET: Weekly Initial Claims (prior 225,000) and Continuing Claims (prior 1.608 mln)
• 10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior -81 bcf)

 

 

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